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My Personal Blog Current > Future Precedents Since it has been my calling to set
new ones
Historic and Unprecedented. How many times have we heard this term used during the George W. Bush presidency? Far too many times, and for topics that should not be viewed in that context. The administration and the press have used these words in a cry wolf fashion to the point where people find it hard to listen to them, and have difficulty determining when something is of any true importance. I would venture that the rest of the world is having a snicker and a few doubts about GW's and America's true plausibility after hearing it so many times. 09-11-05 (Historic and Unprecedented - That's My Name - and You Wore It Out.)
Evolution - Intelligent Design - Devilution. What are the intelligent designers really up to, or do they have a hidden goal, or will one pop out at them. When it was just creation or evolution, the mind could question and reason and find a happy medium of self-realization. Now with intelligent design thrown in - who were the intelligent designers - god or aliens? And if extraterrestrials, who designed them or how did they "evolve" or get created? Science has brought us to the point where we are now becoming the intelligent designers - and we will soon find out just how intelligent we really are when making new creatures or bringing back the dead. 09-12-05 Terrorist Attack. We all know and remember the real day terrorists attacked the US was 11-22-63, the JFK assassination; and so far they have gotten away with it. IT's TIME for that cold case to get solved correctly. 09-14-05
Reality TV: What some call reality TV shows - the rest of us consider it a Writers Strike or Lockout and resulting lack of genuine story ideas. The official writers strike may have been a month or two. (2008 insertion update) But I think it has gone on for a decade or more - when did MTV quit playing music and switch to big brother or road rules etc.? That's about the time when writers quit writing at many networks. 10-15-05
New Dooms Day Theory: I have a new Dooms Day Theory, one that rivals Global Warming and Nuclear Winter. Research should begin immediately to see if there is any truth to it; and determine what immediate actions need to be taken to save mankind. Also see the brief description on my Future-isms page. 01-28-06
9-24-08 The $700B Economic Bailout: There are some disconnects for a non-economist like me and probably others. It might take someone with higher theory to come up with it - but we seem to be at a point where a major new model must be brought forth. We often view things in terms of Marx versus Keynes or US versus Them for which economic system or philosophy is used. Although the Keynesian model has taken us far, our recent meltdown indicates capitalism needs a new business model or models. Some aspects of this situation, I think need to be separated to see them better. A. Years ago a corporation was respected based on how well it took care of its employees, and strived to grow and have more employees (based on it's core products - a soap company or a car company or a steel company etc.). This shows the concept of limits to growth, when everyone has soap or a car and only need replacement products. A company then peaks and usually stays at that level (not looking at internal innovation improvement or competitor replacement with a better product - the basic market share if you will, remains constant. Any more gains must be inflationary sources.) B. The crisis is being blamed on family housing real estate, but propose fixing it by bailing out Wall St. stocks. I propose that the stock market itself should be based on what common people view as corporate real estate. If I buy a stock it is based on that corporate real estate and it's performance & it's stability. The only relationship in these two is if corporations do not pay employees for some reason, layoffs - pay cuts - 'buyout efficiencies' etc. then the personal housing segment is affected. a-1. The capitalist model by conservatives within any party seems to be that of minimal government, and corporations take care of everything, including employee pensions and health care. We could say this is in part by union movement and perhaps by good corporate strategy for the long term of the company. (One obvious flaw in that view was that only large companies could do this and small firms generally could not.) However, some alarming things have occurred in that business model that were never properly addressed. The past couple decades have shown that corporations no longer want these responsibilities - they wanted to focus on just business; products and customers and profitability (distorted). They for the most part have already shed those responsibilities. Many of the recent housing bankruptcies are due to medical costs and lack of real medical coverage that works for all Americans. This means those segments of social fabric that corporations do not want to handle, such as pensions and medical insurance, need to be taken back in by government. This does not mean nationalized medicine. It does however mean nationalized medical insurance. The two are actually separate. Doctors and hospitals can keep on being the best in the world, with no waiting lines or any other scare tactics, and stop bowing to corporate insurance estimates for how many days of stay are allowed, etc. Medical costs and petroleum costs are grouped together as being the primary causes of modern inflation and the underlying reasons people have lost the ability to pay for other things needed. But in this term inflation, it seems very, very odd, that the Fed and others in charge of the national finance only call it inflation when labor costs grow. (Price of gold from about $25 or $35 per ounce in my youth is now a little short of $900 per ounce.) (Gasoline from $0.25 per gallon to $4.00 in that time.) Yet with a fuel price of $1.25/gal. rocketing up to $4.00/gal. in a brief time, this was not really viewed as inflationary nor were the astounding effects this had on all other products. For those of us watching, it seemed Wall St. was having its way with lady Fed for what ever it wanted. Virtually dictating what interest rates would be and when. The recent (a couple days ago) when the Fed left rates as is, the whole trading floor whined and groaned & yelled what the hell is wrong with those guys. It became very obvious then. This relates back to my concept that there are two views of interest rates. Those of us at home depend on these rates for our savings and ability to pay bills and cover rocketing pharmacy costs etc. When they keep cutting our rate of savings earnings, then other main street effects happen such as not going out to restaurants and other purchases. And low interest rates actually join the equation as part of the medical and petroleum inflation and reasons for homeowner default, rather than benefiting society. (Low interest rates might allow someone to make mortgage (new) (250,000 house) - but causes others to lose theirs (existing) (<>100,000 house). In this lower <>100K level; that person obviously can not make the inflationary leap to the 250K level. This might be viewed as a compounding of negatives for interest or inflation. {{ A touch of humor - I have heard of reverse auctions and fire sale prices & 20 cents on the dollar. Is there anything like a reverse ARM that could put people back on track & back into their homes for those who have a career salary that can sustain a Left ARM ?? }} More to the topic, we seem to be asked to bail out Wall St. on the seemingly falsified or engineered concept of homeowner default. They can be segmented from each other. b-1. A concept then comes into view that Home real estate needs to be separated from Corporate real estate, from a public Joe perspective and regulatory perspective, and investor bailout perspective. The first & best idea I have for this is that the Wall St. stock market must spin off the financials into a separate exchange. We have separate exchanges for food and other commodities. Money corporations in their various forms should be in it's own silo so it can be examined and valued and regulated independently. (And from a farmer perspective to not contaminate the other silos.) Companies such as Dell & Microsoft, Ford auto and McDonalds restaurants should not be affected by anything going on in that other silo, except as stated above, when people are forced to cut back on other expenditures. Only a few companies like GE finance and GM finance will need to split away from the manufacturing Wall St. corporation and be held in a totally different stock exchange. And here we will maybe need to see how much of the manufacturing is going to be subsidized by the financial division (or in this case maybe manufacturing bailing out the financial.) And redesign regulations so that all companies have equality in these new capital views. This seems to be a simple yet effective method to save the housing market and not reward the wrong people. Current and long term. In doing so, the financial silo assumes it's own risk. Financials as a separate unit makes deals to both corporate and consumer. If they loan money to a corporation for a buyout which then lays off thousands of people, that financial silo must deal with both ends. Handling and assuming risk for both The estimated corporate profit growth (deal risings), AND the expected empty offices or factory buildings (synergy droppings) and the unemployment wages, empty houses, and empty schools (mortgage droppings). For fun names we have Wall St. for the stocks industry, Madison Ave. for the advertising industry; maybe we can have State St. for the financial industry. Or maybe someone would prefer a name from the Monopoly board; picking one from the low rent or high rent district, or maybe one in the middle. Excerpts notes From my e-mail to CNBC 9-23-08 Attn. Mark Haines: A couple days ago you were talking with a fellow who was in Paris. You mentioned traders or others ganging up on a company and then the ratings companies drop the rating - I thought the ratings companies were in on it. I only have one stock and it shows the disconnect that stock price and value to society are not related - rather the buddy systems and who is liked and not liked at the time. My stock got caught in the internet bubble and has been continually dropping even now, although they have done everything expected from the business text books such as going to core competencies, selling off manufacturing and getting that done by specialty houses, new management, etc. but they continue sliding. It shows me the disconnect that a great company with great employees, great products, substantial global market share, and keeps giving paychecks to the people who work inside their walls - doesn't need to care about stock prices or the Wall St. Buddy system. On the opposite end I see Google who is obviously a Wall St. darling with a sky high stock price, and I think as a search engine company their search results suck so I don't use their search engine. Stock price and a firm's value to society are very disconnected. On a different topic of the current meltdown & congressional intervention. Your common sense approach and ability to articulate the obvious brings this to mind. I hope congress is actually buying out actual houses and other properties that can actually be sold to displaced hurricane victims and returning veterans first, and lower income jobholders second (speculators and flippers excluded). This is to say that we the taxpayers are not paying 700 billion dollars and only getting bits & stacks of paper & a couple [free toaster] shredders. We get real houses and reallocate them so they are no longer worthless or toxic. Thank you, Allen For chart & pattern watchers, and seven year cyclers: 9-11-01 is when the commercial airplanes quit flying. 9-22-08 is when the commercial paper airplanes quit flying. 9-33-xx we can all be glad doesn't appear on any calendar. ***END OF THIS too long FINANCIAL BLOG***
08-10-08 NASA's CREATE THE FUTURE Contest Funding Too Low For Me To Even Consider That Route For Development. I do have a device for transportation that I am sure would make several improvements in vehicle costs, dramatically reduced fuel consumption, reduced weight, and possibly other advantages and efficiencies. But I need a grant of about $20 million up front before I will even make a napkin drawing of it. The $20 mil should probably cover the design, development, testing, & full scale manufacturing ramp-up. With all the money being tossed around out there for bridges to nowhere and everything else - why not throw a relatively small amount my way for something like this that will surely have such tremendous returns to mankind? How about just honoring the agreement (contract) of 1980 and pay me for my previous projects (payment was due March 1987) - then I won't have to ask anyone for this grant. It is obvious by my history of past developments that I view things differently. Grant me the financial freedom to just go ahead and build this thing and not waste my time with these stages of contests & next level funding & next level of outsider involvements. You folks at NASA Tech Briefs asked for a pointer to my blog and here it is. Maybe DOT or DOE should sponsor the grant with no questions asked - look at my history = trust me. 08-10-08
05-27-10 MAN'S BEST FRIEND Has anyone else besides me noticed that man's best friend - Duct Tape - doesn't stick so good anymore? Apparently what used to be a top quality product has gone the way of consumerism. If it doesn't work or stick as well - and falls off sooner - people will have to consume and buy more. Too bad it wasn't developed as a government contract or NASA spin-off so they would be required to maintain the integrity of that product. 05-27-10 home http://www.nemontel.net/~mallen
http://www.nemontel.net/~mallen/eulogy_for_mom.htm
still in esoterics spotted horse still in esoterics stone boat
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